Japan vs Afghanistan, 1st Match Group A, Asian Games 2026: Complete Match Prediction, Toss Prediction, Pitch Report & Dream11 Team
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Introduction: The Asian Games Cricket Opener
The men’s cricket competition at the Asian Games 2026 kicks off with a fascinating Group A encounter between host nation Japan and a young Afghanistan side at the Korogi Sports Park in Nisshin. This match marks the beginning of an exciting tournament that will see Asia’s best cricketing nations battle for gold.
Japan enters this match riding a wave of confidence after their historic performance against India in a recent T20I, where they pushed the world champions to the final ball before falling just two runs short. Meanwhile, Afghanistan has brought a youthful squad to the Asian Games, captained by Darwish Rasooli, blending emerging talent with a few experienced campaigners.
This comprehensive guide covers everything from match preview and pitch report to toss prediction, Dream11 fantasy team, and detailed betting tips. Additionally, we will break down team strengths, key player battles, and score projections. For those new to the platform, the complete Mahadev Book Guide walks you through everything from ID creation to withdrawals.
Match Overview & Prediction
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | Japan vs Afghanistan, 1st Match, Group A |
| Tournament | Asian Games 2026 (Men’s Cricket) |
| Date | Tomorrow, September 24, 2026 |
| Time | 9:00 AM LOCAL, 12:00 AM GMT, 5:30 AM IST |
| Venue | Korogi Sports Park, Nisshin, Japan |
| Broadcast | Sony Sports Network (TV), SonyLIV (Streaming) |
Match Prediction Overview
Afghanistan enters this match as the clear favorite, primarily due to their superior cricketing pedigree and the presence of several players with international experience. However, Japan’s recent performances have shown they are no pushovers, especially on home soil. According to cricket betting tips experts, the battle between Afghanistan’s pace attack and Japan’s disciplined batting will determine the outcome.
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Winning Prediction: Afghanistan are the predicted winners of this Group A encounter.
Confidence Level: High (75%)
Venue Details & Pitch Report Prediction
Stadium Overview
The Korogi Sports Park in Nisshin, located about 20 kilometres from Nagoya’s city centre, is a unique venue that was converted from a baseball facility into a cricket ground earlier this year. The ground features a hybrid pitch square and has temporary seating for around 2,000 spectators. This is the first major cricket tournament hosted at this venue, adding an element of unpredictability.
Pitch Report & Prediction
The pitch at Korogi Sports Park is a hybrid surface consisting of natural clay and synthetic fibres, designed to offer both bounce and turn. This is a fresh pitch with limited match data, which adds intrigue for bettors and fantasy players alike.
Key Pitch Insights:
- Average first-innings score: Around 103 runs (limited data available)
- Boundary size: Shortest boundary is 65 metres
- Toss strategy: The team winning the toss is expected to bowl first, considering the fresh pitch and early morning start
Pitch Behaviour by Phase:
- Powerplay (Overs 1-6): Fast bowlers can extract some movement with the new ball. Batters need to be watchful early on. Powerplay Score Prediction: 35-45 runs
- Middle Phase (Overs 7-15): The hybrid pitch offers turn for spinners. Accumulation becomes key during this phase. Middle Overs Score Prediction: 60-75 runs
- Death Overs (Overs 16-20): Big hitters dominate as the ball comes onto the bat nicely. Death Overs Score Prediction: 130-150 runs
Pitch Prediction: Expect a competitive encounter with a score of 140-160 being competitive. The captain winning the toss prediction is likely to field first.
Weather Forecast & Conditions Prediction
The weather in Nisshin during late September can be unpredictable. This weather forecast plays an important role in match predictions.
- Temperature: Approximately 24°C
- Conditions: Sunny with a chance of rain
- Humidity: Around 64%
- Rain Impact: Moderate chance of interruptions
Weather Impact Prediction: Overcast conditions could assist the fast bowlers early on. Additionally, rain interruptions may reduce the match to a shorter format. Consequently, both captains will keep the weather in mind while making decisions.
Team Analysis: Japan
Japan, captained by Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming, are a team full of enthusiasm and emerging talent. They will relish the opportunity to test themselves against Afghanistan on home soil.
Tournament Performance
Japan enters this tournament on the back of a spirited performance against India, where they narrowly lost by two runs in a rain-shortened T20I. Their recent form shows they are capable of competing against top sides.
Squad Strength
Top-Order:
- Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming (C): The captain provides stability at the top and leads from the front
- Alester Kadowaki-Fleming: A reliable opening batsman
- Declan Suzuki: A promising young batsman
Middle-Order:
- Wataru Miyauchi (WK): The wicketkeeper-batsman is a key player
- Ibrahim Takahashi: A reliable middle-order batter
- Makoto Taniyama: A talented batsman and leg-spinner inspired by Shane Warne
All-Rounders:
- Lachlan Yamamoto-Lake: A handy all-rounder
- Jake Kusuda-Nairn: A rookie spin-bowling all-rounder
Bowling Attack:
- Reo Sakurano Thomas: A genuine wicket-taker
- Kohei Kubota: A reliable pacer
- Charlie Hara-Hinze: A promising 17-year-old spinner
Strengths
- Home Advantage: Familiar conditions and crowd support
- Enthusiasm: A young team eager to prove themselves
- Recent Confidence: Pushed India to the final ball in their last match
Weaknesses
- Experience Gap: Limited exposure to top-level international cricket
- Batting Depth: The lineup can be exposed against quality pace
Team Analysis: Afghanistan
Afghanistan, captained by Darwish Rasooli, are a team with a blend of young talent and experienced campaigners. The squad features several players who have performed well in domestic cricket and are eager to make their mark on the international stage.
Tournament Performance
Afghanistan will be looking to make a strong start to their Asian Games campaign. With a young squad, they will rely on their experienced players to guide them through the tournament.
Squad Strength
Top-Order:
- Darwish Rasooli (C): The captain is a top-order batter with good technique
- Mohammad Akram: An in-form top-order batter who scored 339 runs in 8 innings in the SCL
- Hassan Eisakhil: An opening batter and son of Mohammad Nabi
Middle-Order:
- Najibullah Zadran: The experienced middle-order batter is a proven match-winner
- Karim Janat: A batting all-rounder with international experience
- Ismat Alam: A promising batting all-rounder
All-Rounders:
- Karim Janat: Provides balance with both bat and ball
- Farmanullah Safi: A handy all-rounder
Bowling Attack:
- Abdullah Ahmadzai: A reliable bowler
- Arab Gul Momand: A promising bowler
- Nangyal Kharoti: A handy spinner
Strengths
- International Experience: Players like Najibullah Zadran and Karim Janat bring valuable experience
- All-Round Depth: Multiple all-rounders provide flexibility
- Pace Attack: Afghanistan’s superior pace attack gives them an edge
Weaknesses
- Young Squad: Many players are relatively inexperienced at this level
- Unfamiliar Conditions: First time playing in Japan
Head-to-Head Record & Prediction
Overall Head-to-Head (T20Is)
| Team | Matches | Wins | Losses | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Afghanistan | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head (Last 5 Matches):
The head-to-head record shows Japan having won 4 of the last 5 encounters, though this data may include matches from lower-tier competitions where Afghanistan fielded weaker sides.
Head-to-Head Prediction
While Japan holds a better head-to-head record in recent matches, Afghanistan’s current squad is significantly stronger than those historical results suggest. Therefore, Afghanistan will be confident of turning the tables.
Key Players to Watch & Performance Prediction
Japan
1. Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming (Captain – Batter)
The captain provides stability at the top. His experience will be crucial against Afghanistan’s pace attack.
- Role: Top-order batsman
- Strength: Timing, leadership
- Performance Prediction: 25-40 runs
2. Charlie Hara-Hinze (Bowler)
The 17-year-old spinner is a promising talent. His variations could trouble the Afghan batsmen.
- Role: Middle-overs spinner
- Strength: Variations, control
- Performance Prediction: 1-2 wickets
3. Makoto Taniyama (All-Rounder)
The leg-spinner inspired by Shane Warne is a key player. His ability to pick up wickets in the middle overs will be crucial.
- Role: Leg-spinner, lower-order batsman
- Strength: Variations, control
- Performance Prediction: 1-2 wickets
4. Reo Sakurano Thomas (Bowler)
The pace spearhead is Japan’s most dangerous bowler. His ability to pick up early wickets will be crucial.
- Role: Lead pacer
- Strength: Pace, accuracy
- Performance Prediction: 1-2 wickets
Afghanistan
1. Najibullah Zadran (Batsman)
The experienced middle-order batter is a proven match-winner. His ability to accelerate in the death overs makes him a key player.
- Role: Middle-order batter
- Strength: Power-hitting, experience
- Performance Prediction: 35-50 runs
2. Karim Janat (All-Rounder)
The batting all-rounder provides balance with both bat and ball. His experience will be crucial for the young squad.
- Role: All-rounder
- Strength: Batting, medium-pace
- Performance Prediction: 25-40 runs & 1-2 wickets
3. Mohammad Akram (Batsman)
The in-form top-order batter has been rewarded for his outstanding performance in the SCL. His form will be crucial at the top of the order.
- Role: Top-order batter
- Strength: Consistency, timing
- Performance Prediction: 30-45 runs
4. Darwish Rasooli (Captain – Batter)
The captain is a top-order batter with good technique. His leadership will be crucial for the young squad.
- Role: Top-order batter
- Strength: Technique, leadership
- Performance Prediction: 25-40 runs
Toss Prediction
Factors Influencing the Toss
- Fresh Pitch: The hybrid pitch has limited match data, making it unpredictable
- Early Morning Start: 9:00 AM start could assist fast bowlers with early movement
- Toss Strategy: The team winning the toss is expected to bowl first
Toss Prediction
The Afghanistan team is predicted to win the toss and elect to bowl first.
Confidence Level: 60%
Reasoning: The chasing record at the venue is unknown, but with a fresh pitch and early morning start, bowling first seems the safer option.
Match Prediction & Score Projections
Score Projections
| Scenario | Projected Score |
|---|---|
| If Afghanistan bat first | 160 – 180 runs |
| If Japan bat first | 120 – 140 runs |
Reasoning:
- The average first-innings score at the venue is around 103 runs (limited data)
- Afghanistan have a stronger batting lineup, so they are projected to score more if they bat first
Match Prediction
Who Will Win?
Afghanistan are the predicted winners of this Group A encounter.
Confidence Level: High (75%)
Reasons for Afghanistan’s Victory:
- Superior Squad: Afghanistan have a stronger batting lineup and a better pace attack
- International Experience: Players like Najibullah Zadran and Karim Janat bring valuable experience
- Match-Winning Pedigree: Afghanistan have a history of performing well in major tournaments
Reasons for Japan’s Victory (Upset Alert):
- Home Advantage: Familiar conditions and crowd support
- Recent Confidence: Pushed India to the final ball in their last match
- Nothing to Lose: They can play freely without pressure
Detailed Match Scenarios
Scenario 1: Afghanistan Bat First
- Powerplay (1-6 overs): Rasooli and Akram will look to attack. Score Prediction: 45-55/0
- Middle Overs (7-15): Najibullah and Janat will build a platform. Score Prediction: 100-115/3
- Death Overs (16-20): Janat and Ismat will accelerate. Score Prediction: 160-180/5
- Result Prediction: Afghanistan to defend the total with their strong bowling attack
Scenario 2: Japan Bat First
- Powerplay (1-6 overs): Fleming and Alester will look to survive. Score Prediction: 30-40/1
- Middle Overs (7-15): Miyauchi and Takahashi will look to rotate strike. Score Prediction: 70-85/4
- Death Overs (16-20): Lower-order will try to accelerate. Score Prediction: 120-140/7
- Result Prediction: Afghanistan to chase down the total with ease
Final Verdict: Afghanistan are the overwhelming favorites. Their balanced squad, international experience, and superior pace attack make them the team to beat.
Dream11 Fantasy Team Prediction
Building a winning Dream11 team requires careful analysis of player form, pitch conditions, and match-ups. Here is a comprehensive guide to creating your Japan vs Afghanistan Dream11 fantasy team.
Key Player Categories
| Category | Players to Target |
|---|---|
| Top-Order Batsmen | Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming, Mohammad Akram, Darwish Rasooli, Alester Fleming |
| Middle-Order Batsmen | Najibullah Zadran, Karim Janat, Wataru Miyauchi |
| All-Rounders | Karim Janat, Lachlan Yamamoto-Lake, Jake Kusuda-Nairn, Ismat Alam |
| Wicket-Keepers | Wataru Miyauchi, Mohammad Ishaq |
| Bowlers | Reo Sakurano Thomas, Charlie Hara-Hinze, Abdullah Ahmadzai, Arab Gul Momand |
Dream11 Team Predictions
Option 1: Balanced Team (Recommended for Grand Leagues)
| Position | Player | Team | Role | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK | Wataru Miyauchi | JPN | WK-Batsman | 8.5 |
| BAT | Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming | JPN | Batsman | 9.0 |
| BAT | Najibullah Zadran (C) | AFG | Batsman | 9.5 |
| BAT | Mohammad Akram (VC) | AFG | Batsman | 9.0 |
| AR | Karim Janat | AFG | All-Rounder | 9.0 |
| AR | Lachlan Yamamoto-Lake | JPN | All-Rounder | 8.0 |
| AR | Ismat Alam | AFG | All-Rounder | 8.0 |
| BOWL | Reo Sakurano Thomas | JPN | Bowler | 8.5 |
| BOWL | Abdullah Ahmadzai | AFG | Bowler | 8.5 |
| BOWL | Charlie Hara-Hinze | JPN | Bowler | 8.0 |
| BOWL | Arab Gul Momand | AFG | Bowler | 7.5 |
Captain Prediction: Najibullah Zadran
Vice-Captain Prediction: Mohammad Akram
Total Credits: ~94.5/100
Option 2: Aggressive Team (For Small Leagues)
| Position | Player | Team | Role | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WK | Wataru Miyauchi | JPN | WK-Batsman | 8.5 |
| BAT | Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming (C) | JPN | Batsman | 9.0 |
| BAT | Darwish Rasooli | AFG | Batsman | 8.5 |
| BAT | Najibullah Zadran | AFG | Batsman | 9.5 |
| AR | Karim Janat (VC) | AFG | All-Rounder | 9.0 |
| AR | Jake Kusuda-Nairn | JPN | All-Rounder | 8.0 |
| AR | Ismat Alam | AFG | All-Rounder | 8.0 |
| BOWL | Reo Sakurano Thomas | JPN | Bowler | 8.5 |
| BOWL | Abdullah Ahmadzai | AFG | Bowler | 8.5 |
| BOWL | Makoto Taniyama | JPN | Bowler | 8.0 |
| BOWL | Nangyal Kharoti | AFG | Bowler | 7.5 |
Captain Prediction: Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming
Vice-Captain Prediction: Karim Janat
Total Credits: ~93.0/100
Differential Picks (High-Risk, High-Reward)
- Charlie Hara-Hinze (JPN): The 17-year-old spinner could surprise the Afghan batsmen with his variations
- Hassan Eisakhil (AFG): Opening batter and son of Mohammad Nabi, could play a big innings
- Jake Kusuda-Nairn (JPN): Rookie spin-bowling all-rounder who could contribute with both bat and ball
- Nangyal Kharoti (AFG): Handy spinner who can pick up crucial wickets
Dream11 Fantasy Tips
- Check the Toss: The team batting second has an advantage at this venue
- Captain Choice: Pick an all-rounder who bats in the top order and bowls full quota
- Death Overs: Pick bowlers who bowl in the death overs (Sakurano, Ahmadzai)
- Powerplay: Pick openers who face the most balls (Fleming, Akram)
- Spin Dominance: Pick at least 3 spinners (Hara-Hinze, Taniyama, Kharoti)
For more detailed fantasy tips, refer to the IPL Match Prediction Tips page.
Probable Playing XIs Prediction
Japan
| Player | Role |
|---|---|
| Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming (C) | Opening Batsman |
| Alester Kadowaki-Fleming | Opening Batsman |
| Declan Suzuki | Top-Order Batsman |
| Wataru Miyauchi (WK) | Wicketkeeper – Batsman |
| Ibrahim Takahashi | Middle-Order Batsman |
| Makoto Taniyama | All-Rounder |
| Lachlan Yamamoto-Lake | All-Rounder |
| Jake Kusuda-Nairn | All-Rounder |
| Reo Sakurano Thomas | Bowler (Fast) |
| Kohei Kubota | Bowler (Fast) |
| Charlie Hara-Hinze | Bowler (Spin) |
Afghanistan
| Player | Role |
|---|---|
| Darwish Rasooli (C) | Opening Batsman |
| Mohammad Akram | Opening Batsman |
| Hassan Eisakhil | Top-Order Batsman |
| Najibullah Zadran | Middle-Order Batsman |
| Karim Janat | All-Rounder |
| Ismat Alam | All-Rounder |
| Mohammad Ishaq (WK) | Wicketkeeper – Batsman |
| Farmanullah Safi | All-Rounder |
| Abdullah Ahmadzai | Bowler (Fast) |
| Arab Gul Momand | Bowler (Spin) |
| Nangyal Kharoti | Bowler (Spin) |
Tactical Analysis & Key Battles Prediction
Match-Up 1: Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming vs Abdullah Ahmadzai
The Battle: Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming, Japan’s captain, against Abdullah Ahmadzai, Afghanistan’s pace spearhead.
Analysis: This is the most crucial match-up of the powerplay. Fleming loves to take on the bowlers, while Ahmadzai loves to bowl fast and accurate. If Ahmadzai can dismiss Fleming early, Japan’s top order will be under pressure.
Prediction: Fleming to win this battle, scoring 25+ runs off Ahmadzai.
Match-Up 2: Najibullah Zadran vs Charlie Hara-Hinze
The Battle: Najibullah Zadran, Afghanistan’s experienced middle-order batter, against Charlie Hara-Hinze, Japan’s teenage spinner.
Analysis: Zadran is a powerful hitter of spin, while Hara-Hinze tries to deceive batters with his variations. This middle-over battle will determine the momentum of Afghanistan’s innings.
Prediction: Zadran to win this battle, scoring 20+ runs off Hara-Hinze.
Match-Up 3: Reo Sakurano Thomas vs Mohammad Akram
The Battle: Reo Sakurano Thomas, Japan’s pace spearhead, against Mohammad Akram, Afghanistan’s in-form opener.
Analysis: Sakurano’s pace and accuracy can trouble Akram. If Sakurano dismisses Akram early, Afghanistan’s innings will be set back.
Prediction: Sakurano to win this battle, dismissing Akram for a low score.
Match-Up 4: Karim Janat vs Makoto Taniyama
The Battle: Karim Janat, Afghanistan’s all-rounder, against Makoto Taniyama, Japan’s leg-spinner.
Analysis: Both players are key all-rounders. Taniyama will try to restrict Janat with his variations, while Janat will look to attack.
Prediction: Janat to win this battle, scoring 20+ runs off Taniyama.
Betting Tips & Odds Prediction
Match Odds
| Market | Odds (Approximate) |
|---|---|
| Afghanistan to Win | 1.20 (Heavy Favorites) |
| Japan to Win | 4.50 (Underdogs) |
Analysis: Afghanistan are heavy favorites due to their superior squad and international experience. These cricket betting tips suggest backing Afghanistan.
Toss Betting
| Market | Odds (Approximate) |
|---|---|
| Japan to Win Toss | 1.90 |
| Afghanistan to Win Toss | 1.90 |
Top Batsman Betting
| Market | Odds (Approximate) |
|---|---|
| Najibullah Zadran (AFG) to be Top Batsman | 3.00 |
| Mohammad Akram (AFG) to be Top Batsman | 3.50 |
| Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming (JPN) to be Top Batsman | 5.00 |
| Karim Janat (AFG) to be Top Batsman | 5.50 |
Top Bowler Betting
| Market | Odds (Approximate) |
|---|---|
| Abdullah Ahmadzai (AFG) to be Top Bowler | 3.00 |
| Arab Gul Momand (AFG) to be Top Bowler | 3.50 |
| Reo Sakurano Thomas (JPN) to be Top Bowler | 4.50 |
| Charlie Hara-Hinze (JPN) to be Top Bowler | 5.00 |
Betting Tips & Prediction
- Match Winner Prediction: Back Afghanistan to win (1.20 odds)
- Toss Winner Prediction: Back Afghanistan to win the toss (1.90 odds)
- Top Batsman Prediction: Back Najibullah Zadran to be the top batsman (3.00 odds)
- Top Bowler Prediction: Back Abdullah Ahmadzai to be the top bowler (3.00 odds)
- Total Sixes Prediction: Over 8.5 sixes in the match (1.80 odds)
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Where to Watch Live
| Region | Broadcast Details |
|---|---|
| India | Sony Sports Network (TV), SonyLIV (Streaming) |
| Japan | Local broadcasters |
| Global Streaming | SonyLIV App, Official broadcaster apps |
Match Time:
- Local (Nisshin): 9:00 AM
- GMT: 12:00 AM
- IST (India): 5:30 AM
FAQ – Frequently Asked Questions
Q1: Who will win today’s match between Japan and Afghanistan?
A: Afghanistan are the predicted winners according to this Japan vs Afghanistan Asian Games 2026 match prediction. They have a stronger squad and more international experience.
Q2: What is the pitch report for Korogi Sports Park?
A: The pitch at Korogi Sports Park is a hybrid surface offering both bounce and turn. The shortest boundary is 65 metres. The average first-innings score is around 103 runs.
Q3: Who will win the toss?
A: Afghanistan are predicted to win the toss and elect to bowl first.
Q4: Who are the key players to watch?
A: Key players include Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming, Charlie Hara-Hinze, and Reo Sakurano Thomas for Japan, and Najibullah Zadran, Mohammad Akram, and Karim Janat for Afghanistan.
Q5: What is the Dream11 fantasy team for this match?
A: A balanced Dream11 team should include Najibullah Zadran (C), Mohammad Akram (VC), Wataru Miyauchi, Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming, Karim Janat, Lachlan Yamamoto-Lake, Ismat Alam, Reo Sakurano Thomas, Abdullah Ahmadzai, Charlie Hara-Hinze, and Arab Gul Momand.
Q6: What is the head-to-head record between these two teams?
A: Japan have won 4 of the last 5 matches against Afghanistan, though this data may include matches from lower-tier competitions.
Q7: What are the predicted scores?
A: If Afghanistan bat first, they are projected to score 160-180 runs. If Japan bat first, they are projected to score 120-140 runs.
Q8: Where can I watch the match live?
A: The match will be broadcast live on Sony Sports Network and streamed on SonyLIV in India.
Q9: What is the weather forecast for the match?
A: The weather forecast predicts sunny conditions with a temperature of around 24°C. There is a 45% chance of rain.
Q10: Who is the captain of Japan?
A: Kendel Kadowaki-Fleming is the captain of Japan.
Q11: Who is the captain of Afghanistan?
A: Darwish Rasooli is the captain of Afghanistan.
Conclusion & Final Prediction
The opening match of the men’s cricket competition at the Asian Games 2026 promises to be an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting experience levels. Afghanistan, with their superior squad and international pedigree, are the clear favorites. Japan, however, will be buoyed by their recent performance against India and the support of their home crowd.
Final Match Prediction
| Prediction | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Toss Winner | Afghanistan |
| Toss Decision | Bowl First |
| Match Winner | Afghanistan |
| Score Prediction (Afghanistan Bat First) | 160-180/5 |
| Score Prediction (Japan Bat First) | 120-140/7 |
| Top Batsman | Najibullah Zadran |
| Top Bowler | Abdullah Ahmadzai |
| Player of the Match | Najibullah Zadran |
Final Verdict
Afghanistan are the overwhelming favorites to win this match according to this JPN vs AFG prediction. Their superior squad, combined with international experience, makes them the team to beat. However, Japan have shown they can compete against top sides and will be eager to cause an upset on home soil.
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